Dawn Run \/ Ryanair Mares\u2019 Novices’ Hurdle Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n2024 Winner: GOLDEN ACE (10\/1)
\nTrainer \u2013 Jeremy Scott
\nJockey \u2013 Lorcan Williams
\n<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n- New race (Only 9 renewals)<\/li>\n
- All 9 winners aged 5 or 6<\/li>\n
- 6 of the last 9 trained in Ireland, but last 3 UK trained<\/li>\n
- Favourites won 3 of the 9 runnings<\/li>\n
- 6 of the last 9 won last time out<\/li>\n
- 4 of the 9 French-bred<\/li>\n
- 5 of the last 9 top or second\u00a0top rated<\/li>\n
- 5 of the last 9 priced 5\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
- 5 of the last 9 started their careers in France<\/li>\n
- 6 of the last 9 had run at least 4 times over hurdles<\/li>\n
- 5 of the 9 unbeaten that season<\/li>\n
- 4 of the 9 have been aged 5 years-old<\/li>\n
- Willie Mullins won the race in 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020<\/li>\n
- Owner Rich Ricci has won 2 of the last 9 runnings<\/li>\n
- Nicky Henderson is currently 0-from-12<\/li>\n
- JP McManus owned are 0-from-10<\/li>\n
- 7 year-olds or older are 0-from-24<\/li>\n
- British trained runners are 3-from-61<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Jack Richard Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n2020 Winner: IMPERIAL AURA (4\/1 fav)
\nTrainer \u2013 Kim Bailey
\nJockey \u2013 David Bass
\n<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 12 of the last 16 aged 6 or 7<\/li>\n
- 13 of the last 16 finished in the top 2 last time<\/li>\n
- 10 of the last 16 single-figure price<\/li>\n
- 8 of the last 14 previous bumper or point winners<\/li>\n
- 50% of the last 8 ran in the Timeform Novices’ Handicap Chase on Trials Day<\/li>\n
- 10 of the last 11 rated 137+<\/li>\n
- 9 of the last 16 had only won once over fences<\/li>\n
- 7 of the last 9 carried 11st-7lbs or more<\/li>\n
- Brian Hughes has a fine record (2 wins from just 5 rides)<\/li>\n
- 9 of the last 10 priced 12\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
- The last 10 winners carried 11st-2lbs or more<\/li>\n
- Just 2 of the last 16 didn’t finish in the top 3 last time out<\/li>\n
- Just 1 on the last 16 won more than two chase races<\/li>\n
- Only 2 of the last 16 aged 8 or older<\/li>\n
- Just 2 of the last 16 aged 5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n2024 Winner: MONMIRAL (25\/1)
\nTrainer \u2013 Paul Nicholls
\nJockey \u2013 Harry Cobden<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 13 of the last 14 rated 138 or higher<\/li>\n
- Irish won the last 7 of last 9 runnings<\/li>\n
- Last 13 aged 8 or younger<\/li>\n
- 12 of the last 24 from outside the top 5 in the betting<\/li>\n
- 13 of the last 18 rated between 132-142 (inc)<\/li>\n
- 12 of the last 14 rated between 138-148<\/li>\n
- 12 of the last 20 won over at least 2m7f<\/li>\n
- 9 of the last 13 run 10 or less times over hurdles before<\/li>\n
- 6 of the last 12 ran 7 or less times over hurdles<\/li>\n
- 8 of the last 11 returned 12\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
- 8 of the last 24 won their last race<\/li>\n
- 6 of the last 9 ran at Leopardstown last time out<\/li>\n
- Look for trainers Jonjo O\u2019Neill, Twiston-Davies and Pipe-trained runners<\/li>\n
- JP McManus-owned horses do well \u2013 won it again in 2019 and 2020<\/li>\n
- Gordon Elliott has won 3 of the last 7 runnings<\/li>\n
- Horses with headgear do well (9 since 2000)<\/li>\n
- 8 of the last 9 wore a tongue-tie<\/li>\n
- 7 of the last 9 Irish-trained<\/li>\n
- 6 of the last 9 ran in the Leopardstown Qualifier (Christmas)<\/li>\n
- Since 2000 only 1 winner didn\u2019t have a run that calendar year<\/li>\n
- 5 year-olds have won just twice since 1973<\/li>\n
- Only 1 horse rated 150+ since 2000 has finished in the top 2<\/li>\n
- Just 2 winning favourites in last 19 years<\/li>\n
- Paul Nicholls is 1 from 20 (One winner, One third and two 2nds in the last 11 runnings)<\/li>\n
- Horses aged 7 or younger and priced in single-figures are just 3 from 54<\/li>\n
- Only 1 winner in the last 42 years aged 10+<\/li>\n
- Willie Mullins is yet to win the race<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Ryanair Chase Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n2024 Winner: PROTEKTORAT (17\/2)<\/em><\/strong>
\nTrainer \u2013 Harry Skelton
\nJockey \u2013 Dan Skelton<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 13 of the last 17 had won a Grade 1 Chase before<\/li>\n
- 16 of the 20 had won at Cheltenham before<\/li>\n
- 7 of the last 12 were second season chasers<\/li>\n
- All 17 recent winners (since getting G1 status) had won over 2m4f<\/li>\n
- 14 of the last 17 won or placed at the Festival before<\/li>\n
- The King George VI Chase can be a good guide (8 from 31)<\/li>\n
- The previous year\u2019s renewal is a good guide<\/li>\n
- 16 of the last 20 returned 13\/2 or shorter<\/li>\n
- 9 of the last 13 were aged 7 or 8 years-old<\/li>\n
- 16 of the last 17 were rated 161+<\/li>\n
- Horse rated 170+ have won 4 of the last 7<\/li>\n
- 14 of last 20 were fav or second-fav<\/li>\n
- 11 of the last 17 finished 1st or 2nd\u00a0last time out<\/li>\n
- 16 of the last 20 came from the top 3 in the betting<\/li>\n
- 9 of the last 13 had 11 (or less) runs over fences<\/li>\n
- Look for first time headgear (3 from 13)<\/li>\n
- 11 of the last 17 winners DIDN\u2019T win their last race<\/li>\n
- Last 11 winners were French-bred<\/li>\n
- All winners ran 5 or less times that season<\/li>\n
- 5 of the last 9 winners trained by Willie Mullins<\/li>\n
- Last 13 aged 9 or younger<\/li>\n
- Irish have won 7 of the last 9 runnings<\/li>\n
- Only one winner rated 160 or below<\/li>\n
- Only 6 of the last 17 won last time out<\/li>\n
- No winner was having their first run at the Festival<\/li>\n
- Avoid horses priced 7\/1 or bigger<\/li>\n
- Just 1 of the last 15 winners aged 10<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n2024 Winner: TEAHUPOO (5\/4 fav)
\nTrainer \u2013 Gordon Elliott
\nJockey \u2013 Jack Kennedy<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 19 of the last 24 came from the top 4 in the betting<\/li>\n
- 19 winners since 2000 returned in single-figures<\/li>\n
- 14 of the last 20 won their last race<\/li>\n
- 7 of the last 11 were second season hurdlers<\/li>\n
- 21 of the last 25 finished 1st or 2nd\u00a0last time out<\/li>\n
- 31 of the last 35 aged between 6-8 years-old<\/li>\n
- 10 of the last 23 were French Bred<\/li>\n
- The Cleeve Hurdle and Long Walk Hurdle form should be respected<\/li>\n
- 8 of the last 18 winners raced in the Cleeve Hurdle last time out<\/li>\n
- 20 of the last 25 finished 1st or 2nd\u00a0in all their hurdling runs that season<\/li>\n
- 15 of the last 20 started 10\/1 or less in the betting<\/li>\n
- Past winners of the race has a fair record<\/li>\n
- 18 of the last 28 had won 7 or less times over hurdles<\/li>\n
- 3 of the last 7 ran in the Albert Bartlett the previous season<\/li>\n
- Avoid horses that didn\u2019t finish either 1st or 2nd\u00a0last time out<\/li>\n
- A 5 year-old is yet to win the race<\/li>\n
- Horses wearing headgear are 1 from 8<\/li>\n
- Only 3 winners aged 9 in the last 35 runnings<\/li>\n
- Horses aged 10 or older have just one win since1986 (1 from 70) – 2023 year\u2019s winner Sire Du Berlais (11)<\/li>\n
- Horses that have lost previously in the race don\u2019t fare well<\/li>\n
- Willie Mullins has only won the race twice<\/li>\n
- The Irish are have won the race just 7 times since 1995 (but have won the last 4)<\/li>\n
- Avoid horses that were beaten in the race in the past<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n